Friday, September 23, 2011

Big 12 Expansion Scenarios

By: Alex Burks

Just for kicks!

Easy Pickings: These teams have contacted the Big 12 about joining
BYU
SMU

Wishful Thinking: The Big 12 would have to give up some delusions
Boise State
TCU
West Virginia

Worth a long look: These teams have some strengths, some wins
Houston
Louisville

Hyper Regional: Last resort, regional mentality fully pursued
Tulsa
Wyoming
Rice
UTSA
UTEP

Longshots: Hard sells, huge rewards
Notre Dame
Arkansas
Texas A&M

First step: Big 12 (10)
The most likely scenario has BYU joining the Big 12 with the mutual affection. However, if Texas A&M can be convinced to stay, which might require another longshot acquisition in Notre Dame or Arkansas, then BYU will still probably get the nod to round it out to 12. [Now that the SEC has accepted TAM it is an even longer shot.]

Second step: Big 12
After BYU, the Big 12 will have to commit to geographic expansion. The best bet here would be to go after TCU, West Virginia, or least likely Boise State. Or worst case: SMU.

Third step: Big 16
Here's where it gets tough. Let's say the most likely 10th team is BYU, the 11 and 12 are TCU and West Virginia. Then you still want four additional top 25 caliber teams. SMU is getting there. Boise State has been there for a long time. Houston has flirted with top 25 status recently and Louisville will do. If the Big 12 decides to go Hyper regional it would swap out Boise State and Louisville for two of the following three: Tulsa, Wyoming and/or Rice. If the Big 12 wants to get big it would forget about hyper regional and focus on Top 25 caliber teams. The Big 12 should tout programs with winning traditions. Period.

So what would 4x4 pods look like?

Texas pod
Texas
Texas Tech
Baylor
SMU
(Houston, TCU, OU, OSU in an 8 team pod)

Plains pod
OU
OSU
KU
KSU

West pod
Boise State
BYU
TCU
Houston

East pod
Iowa State
Louisville
West Virginia
Missouri
(BYU, Boise State, KU, KSU in an 8 team pod)

Or hyper regional Big 16 with two pods:

Texas Pod
Texas
Texas Tech
Baylor
SMU
TCU
Houston
Rice
Missouri

Plains Pod
OU
OSU
KU
KSU
ISU
WVA
BYU
Tulsa/Wyoming

Now if A&M would stay, Missouri switches over to the plains pod and Tulsa/Wyoming would be first out.

Either way, it looks like a competitive, strong conference. One can only dream about what this might look like with Notre Dame and/or Arkansas.

Big 12 Conference: Go Big or GTFO!

By: Alex Burks

The Big 12 Conference has an identity opportunity. Michael Vick had the same opportunity after his release from prison and only one thing mattered. Not money, not size, not personality, not ego, not negative press, not angry fans. The one thing that mattered was talent, on-field performance. The Big 12 should take up this opportunity to forget everything like revenue sharing, television markets, egos, locations and rivalries. Put the best product on your Big 12 fields every week. This game of football is about winning, not whining. It's about beating, not bitching.

The Big 12 can become college football's version of the American League East. Get a commissioner who thinks he's Scott Boras. College Football teams, their regents and athletic directors are starting to look more like free agents wanting to be a part of a championship team. Right now, the Big 12 and the SEC are Championship conferences with a capital C (the Pacific 12 conference was a Championship conference before USC imploded upon itself like a time travel wormhole). And you know what? The Big 12, despite Nebraska's departure, is the premier conference right now. The Big 12 needs to own that distinction. Get the best teams in the country to fill out your conference and forget everything off the field.

Of course, it is more likely that the Big 12 will follow one of two trends (or try to work both into the league) going forward: revenue sharing and region strengthening. Texas has put up a major roadblock to revenue sharing, but the conference let it happen. They should embrace the Longhorn network. Would anyone in the Big 12 rather see the Longhorn network showing ACC matchups? NO. So open it up. Every team for itself and let the market decide how much your teams are worth paying advertising dollars and TV time for. The Baylor-TCU game early this season was one of the best five games so far this year. RG3 is an exciting player on an exciting team. That's your product. Let Texas keep its money from its network so the whole country can see the Bears maul the Longhorns. Iowa State has a huge following and they are in the top 5 in the conference in season ticket sales [they might even be number three behind Texas and OU... need a fact checker]. This is how you get Notre Dame, dummies.

Region strengthening is a much more intriguing, and much more feasible idea. Keep the conference teams in the plains and west of the Mississippi river. Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Arkansas, Missouri, and maybe even Wyoming, that's your region. There are a lot of haters of the defunct Southwest Conference out there, but it makes sense if you stick to it. Bring back Rice. Get TCU. Get Wyoming. Get SMU. Take a look at Houston and Tulsa. This is how you get Arkansas, dummies.

Both of these ideas, however, are limiting. Big 12, you are the best conference in the nation so why limit yourself? Tell all of your teams, "Go Big or Get The F*** Out." Win or go to the ACC (ahem... Texas). So if Kansas State starts bitching about revenue sharing, they can leave, and the Big 12 can bring in Boise State, the winningest team in the NCAA since 2006. No barriers but excellence. No barometers but wins. Would you rather see Texas and OU play Kansas State or Boise State every year? Don't answer that OU fans (ahem... Fiesta Bowl).

There is a reason GameDay decided not to showcase a TOP TEN BIG TWELVE match-up, instead favoring their first trip to West Virginia. That reason is not the on-field talent, but rather the off-field everything else.